I thought it would be a worth a stab to post my semi expert picks for each game this week at moneyline and at the spread. Check out below for the knowledge:
Money line picks
DET VS CHI – CHI
IND VS HOU – IND
CLE VS TEN – TEN
LV VS NYJ – LV
JAX VS MIN – MIN
NO VS ATL – NO
CIN VS MIA – MIA
LAR VS ARI – LAR
NYG VS SEA – SEA
PHI VS GB – GB
NE VS LAC – LAC
DEN VS KC – KC
WAS VS PIT – PIT
BUF VS SF – BUF
DAL VS BAL – BAL
There are a few games in this mix that could go either way easier than most. The first is DET VS CHI. I could make a few arguments for why each team could and should win this game. In the end I think CHI should get it but only by a hair. DET just fired its head coach and GM. This tells me that the players will be excited to play and we’ve already seen teams like HOU do the same thing and come out strong the following weeks. On the other hand, Turdisky actually has surprising numbers over the years against DET. Both teams have been playing pretty bad so its a flip coin to me. We go home team.
NE VS LAC – I would love nothing more to just say go with Belichicks master mind to win close games but its not been that easy with Cam in the pocket. Heres the numbers, Chargers are 7-3 in their past 10 hosting East Coast teams, NE is 1-4 SU on the road, that only win on the road this year was against NYJ (does that count?), Chargers are 2-7 in one score games this year and 13-22 under Anthony Lynn. Another flip of the coin, lands me on the home team.
BUF VS SF – SF is definitely getting healthier day by day but will still be down their QB and star offensive player. It will be the third time this year that Deebo, Raheem and Aiyuk will be on the field at the same time which should give relief to Raheem up the middle. BUF is giving up almost 5 yards per carry and we know how much SF likes to run. BUFs defense did play well against the Chargers and is 4th in the league in turnover rate. I expect SF to continue their streak of multiple turn overs a game to this BUF d and we all know how hard it is to win when you do that.
ATS Picks
DET VS CHI – DET +3
IND VS HOU – IND – 3
CLE VS TEN – TEN -5.5
LV VS NYJ – LV -8
JAX VS MIN – MIN – 10
NO VS ATL – NO -3
CIN VS MIA – MIA – 10.5
LAR VS ARI – LAR -2.5
NYG VS SEA – SEA -10.5
PHI VS GB – GB -9
NE VS LAC – LAC -1.5
DEN VS KC – KC -13.5
WAS VS PIT – PIT -7
BUF VS SF – BUF +1
DAL VS BAL – BAL -7.5
Interesting O/U plays
CIN VS MIA – Under 42.5
Bengals offense is no where to be found under Brandon Allen and Miamis Defense has been showing their skills all year. Miamis offense has struggled lately and I expect them to be on the conservative side of things this week with Fitz being back in the mix.
NO VS ATL – Under 46
When you normally think of these two teams its a 34-31 or more game but the line is telling us that is not the case and I see why. These two teams right now are not at their peak performance of the year. Saints are averaging about 29 points a game and ATL is historically terrible against high scoring offenses when at home.
I have a bunch of money line 3,4,5,6 parlays based around IND and NO. Those seem to be the 2 most lock games of the week with decent money line pays. I mixed in the DET/CHI, LAR/ARI, NE/LAC, and BUF/SF games into these parlays.
GOODLUCK to all and to all a goodnight! I mean it is DEC….Thanks for the read let us know how yall do on this weekends games. We like to see any kind of wins. Check us out on FB, Insta and twitter or our youtube channel at WE LIVE FANTASY!
